Will Mr. Tsipras lose the war?

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The election campaign period is entering full swing, however it is not clear where the electorate is leaning to yet.

Last week, the second in the campaign period, it was Evangelos Meimarakis and Fofi Gennimata who undoubtedly made the greatest impression.

The first confirmed his ability to galvanize support and unite New Democracy, to the point where he can legitimately aim for first place. He covered the differences, adapted the electoral battle to his advantage and is threatening to truly make it so that the left-wing government is merely a parenthesis.

The polls show that the president of New Democracy is more popular than Mr. Tsipras, almost as suitable to become Prime Minister and able to win the battle. He has also managed to attract New Democracy voters who left the flock, even ones who turned to SYRIZA. Without a doubt, he is the big surprise in the electoral showdown.

Mrs. Gennimata too, as it would seem, has managed to get PASOK out of the relegation zone and is cultivating expectations of greater support. The PASOK president, who is undervalued by many, as it would seem, it managing bring back voters to the half-knocked down house and has aroused Mr. Tsipras’ interest for a post-electoral cooperation.

On the contrary Mr. Tsipras seems to have been left behind in the first two weeks of the election campaign period. It appears that he is struggling with the nightmare of his party breaking up and the revealing effects of his seven months in power.

The many insecurities from that period are spreading waves of distrust and even more doubts among voters, regarding the New Left party’s ability to govern effectively and guarantee the country’s European course.

Under the weight of all of the aforementioned, Mr. Tsipras’ party is being pressured both from the Left and the Right. Of course this does not mean that he lost the war. Most undecided voters come from his ranks, Mr. Lafazanis party does not seem to impress voters, and the chance of Mr. Meimarakis coming first is enough to trigger anti-Right reflexes and bring back the shocked SYRIZA voters back into Mr. Tsipras’ arms. His staff officers though continue to predict that will come first with a 2.5-point lead. In any case, Mr. Tsipras must take charge and reverse the trends in the upcoming week. If he does not make it, he will lose the election and take the blame for everything.

From then on there is nothing to suggest any major surprises. The Communist Party is struggling to break the 6% barrier, the River does not seem to have the support that its leader expected, Golden Dawn is trying to emerge from its isolation after the murder of Pavlos Fyssas, the Independent Greeks are perilously close to not making it in Parliament, with Leventis of the Union of Centrists taking their spot.

These elections are going to be very crucial. Whatever the result, the political system will be called to form a government capable of keeping Greece on a European course. Because there are those who expect these elections to be the beginning of the end of our presence in Europe…

TO BHMA

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